The destiny of the Pistons, Wizards and the opposite groups concerned within the 2024 NBA Draft Lottery might be determined Sunday in Chicago at 3 p.m. ET. Outcomes of the lottery might be performed privately in a room and coordinated by the agency Ernst & Younger, then shared publicly shortly thereafter on ESPN the place the drawing might be unveiled in reverse order from No. 14 right down to No. 1 for the 2024 NBA Draft on June 26-27. 

Odds to win the draft lottery are led by the Pistons and Wizards at 14.0% after every posted the worst and second-worst win-loss file within the 2023-24 NBA common season. Lottery odds lower marginally thereafter with Charlotte’s probabilities to win the No. 1 decide at 13.3%, Portland’s odds at 13.2% and San Antonio’s odds at 10.5%. 

Lottery odds drop 1.5% for the subsequent 5 groups — Toronto, Memphis, Utah, Houston and Atlanta — earlier than falling off to 2.0% for the Chicago Bulls on the Eleventh-best spot. The chances path all the way in which right down to 0.7% for Golden State’s whose decide is owed this yr to the Path Blazers. A few of these picks might be conveyed to different groups primarily based on the place they’re slotted. 

Sunday marks the sixth yr of the NBA’s new lottery system, so if all of this sounds overseas, we have got an in depth explainer for what to know and when to comprehend it under. 

When is the NBA Draft Lottery?

The 2024 NBA Draft Lottery will happen on Sunday, Might 12 at 3 p.m. ET earlier than Recreation 4 of the Japanese Convention playoff showdown between the Knicks and Pacers. It can air on ESPN and be streaming on fubo (strive at no cost).

How does the lottery work?

The earlier draft lottery system previous to 2019 awarded a 25% likelihood that the group with the worst file would win the No. 1 general decide. The second and third-worst groups by file got 19.9% and 15.6% likelihood of successful the No. 1 decide. The brand new format permitted in 2017 and enacted in 2019 lowered the chances the groups with the three worst data would win the lottery and flattened the chances throughout the board. 

The three groups with the worst file are awarded a 14% likelihood then odds lower thereafter by 1.5% factors right down to 0.5%. Nonetheless, resulting from quite a few tiebreaker eventualities this yr, solely Detroit and Washington have a 14% likelihood of securing the No. 1 decide and percentages for a number of different groups are marginally totally different.

What is the choice course of for the lottery?

A draft lottery performed by drawings might be held to find out the primary 4 picks within the NBA Draft. The remaining 10 lottery groups will choose in positions 5 by 14 in inverse order of their 2023-24 common season data.

The lottery course of is performed privately with representatives from the NBA, taking part groups and the accounting agency Ernst & Younger in attendance. 

A complete of fourteen ping-pong balls numbered 1 by 14 might be positioned in a lottery machine. There’s a whole of 1,001 attainable mixtures when the 4 balls are drawn. All 14 balls are positioned into the lottery machine and blended for 20 seconds earlier than the primary ball is eliminated. The remaining balls are blended within the lottery machine for one more 10 seconds and one other ball is drawn. The group with the assigned mixture receives the No. 1 decide. 

That course of is then repeated till the order for picks Nos. 2, 3 and 4 are set.

This is extra on that from the NBA:

The drawing course of happens within the following method: All 14 balls are positioned within the lottery machine and they’re blended for 20 seconds, after which the primary ball is eliminated. The remaining balls are blended within the lottery machine for one more 10 seconds, after which the second ball is drawn. There’s a 10-second combine, after which the third ball is drawn. There’s a 10-second combine, after which the fourth ball is drawn. The group that has been assigned that mixture will obtain the No. 1 decide. The identical course of is repeated with the identical ping-pong balls and lottery machine for the second by fourth picks.

If the identical group comes up greater than as soon as, the result’s discarded and one other four-ball mixture is chosen. Additionally, if the one unassigned mixture is drawn, the result’s discarded and the balls are drawn once more. The size of time the balls are blended is monitored by a timekeeper who faces away from the machine and indicators the machine operator after the suitable period of time has elapsed.

What are the chances for the draft lottery?

The Pistons completed with the NBA’s worst file (by 5 video games) in 2023-24 for a second consecutive season, thus incomes the 14% likelihood to win the lottery. Washington had the second-worst file and has a 14% likelihood as properly. The complete odds board for every group to win the No. 1 decide and the possibilities every decide lands within the high 4 is under.

x – Decide could also be conveyed to a different group

• Toronto’s decide might be conveyed to San Antonio if not among the many high 6 picks.
• Utah’s decide might be conveyed to Oklahoma Metropolis if not among the many high 10 picks.
• Houston’s decide might be conveyed to Oklahoma Metropolis if not among the many high 4 picks.
• Golden State’s decide might be conveyed to Portland (through Boston and Memphis) if not among the many high 4 picks.

Which gamers might be picked within the lottery?

These will chane earlier than the NBA Draft, however listed here are the present high NBA Draft prospects on Kyle Boone’s NBA Draft Massive Board with full board accessible right here.