The Western Convention’s present No. 2 seed, Oklahoma Metropolis Thunder, look to defend their residence court docket on Friday night time as they host the Miami Warmth. The Thunder (43-19) enter off a 128-120 street win on the Path Blazers on Wednesday, whereas the Warmth (35-27) fell on the Mavericks final night time, 114-108. Oklahoma Metropolis received January’s matchup between these two groups, 128-120 in Miami. The Thunder are 34-25-3 in opposition to the unfold, whereas the Warmth are 25-37 ATS in 2023-24.

Tipoff is about for 8 p.m. ET on the Paycom Heart in Oklahoma Metropolis, Okla. The Thunder are favored by 8.5 factors within the newest Warmth vs. Thunder odds, per SportsLine consensus, and the over/underneath is 224 factors. Earlier than coming into any Thunder vs. Warmth picks, you will wish to see the NBA predictions from the mannequin at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Mannequin simulates each NBA sport 10,000 occasions and has returned properly over $10,000 in revenue for $100 gamers on its top-rated NBA picks over the previous five-plus seasons. The mannequin enters Week 20 of the 2023-24 NBA season on a scorching 64-40 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning greater than $2,200. Anybody following it has seen big returns.

The mannequin has set its sights on Miami vs. Oklahoma Metropolis. You’ll be able to head to SportsLine to see its picks. Listed here are a number of NBA odds and betting traces for Warmth vs. Thunder:

  • Thunder vs. Warmth unfold: Thunder -8.5
  • Thunder vs. Warmth over/underneath: 224 factors
  • Thunder vs. Warmth cash line: Thunder -366, Warmth +289
  • Thunder vs. Warmth picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Warmth can cowl

It is a powerful spot for Miami as it is the second night time of a back-to-back following the crew’s powerful loss to Dallas. Guard Terry Rozier led the Warmth with 27 factors and 11 assists, properly above his season averages of 20.4 factors and 6.4 assists per night time. Ahead Duncan Robinson hit 5 of 8 three-pointers for 19 factors within the dropping effort.

Miami’s greatest offensive threats, Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo, each scored 14 factors in opposition to the Mavericks, which doubtless contributed to the crew’s poor end result. On the season, Butler averages 21.7 factors, whereas Adebayo scores a median of 20.2 factors nightly. With guard Tyler Herro (20.8 PPG) a game-time resolution with a foot damage, Butler and Adebayo will doubtless have to exceed their season averages for Miami to have an upset likelihood. See which crew to select right here.

Why the Thunder can cowl

At 31.1 factors per sport, Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ranks second within the league in scoring, but nonetheless would not appear to realize the notoriety of the league’s different cease stars. In 17 of the crew’s final 18 victories courting again to January, Gilgeous-Alexander has surpassed the 30-point mark. He additionally averages 6.5 assists and 5.6 rebounds, and groups have not discovered a constant reply to sluggish him down.

In his first skilled season, Chet Holmgren has been a drive worthy of being the No. 2 choose within the 2022 NBA Draft. Holmgren averages 17.2 factors and seven.9 rebounds in addition to 2.5 blocks per sport. Ahead Jalen Williams is the crew’s second main scorer, averaging 19.3 PPG, serving to lead the Thunder to a profitable place within the Western Convention playoff race. See which crew to select right here.

The best way to make Warmth vs. Thunder picks

The mannequin has simulated Miami vs. Oklahoma Metropolis 10,000 occasions and the outcomes are in. We are able to inform you that the mannequin is leaning Beneath, and it is also generated a point-spread choose the place one facet of the unfold hits practically 60% of the time. You’ll be able to solely see the choose at SportsLine.

Who wins Thunder vs. Warmth, and which facet of the unfold hits in practically 60% of simulations? Go to SportsLine now to see the picks, all from the mannequin that’s on an 64-40 roll on top-rated NBA picks, and discover out. 

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