After a down 12 months by his requirements in 2024, Pete Alonso wager on himself this offseason. Up to now, that wager is paying off, as Alonso is slashing .349/.469/.674 to guide the Nationwide League in all three classes whereas hitting 9 residence runs and driving in 33. The 30-year-old has put himself able to land a wholesome payday subsequent offseason and he is additionally been a fixture of successful MLB residence run picks throughout the first six weeks of the season.
Alonso hit one other residence run on Monday and has a number of hits in three of his final 4 video games. FanDuel Sportsbook has him listed at +330 within the MLB residence run odds on Tuesday in Arizona, however is there sufficient meat on that bone to his him in your MLB HR picks? With MLB props accessible for nearly each participant in each recreation at sportsbooks, SportsLine’s confirmed pc mannequin may help you discover worth so as to add to your MLB residence run picks.
The mannequin simulates each recreation 10,000 instances and is on a 17-11 roll on all top-rated MLB picks for the reason that begin of the season. The mannequin has been routinely calling residence run props and is up 32.05 items over the past 28 days. Now, the mannequin and SportsLine’s group of Knowledge Scientists have revealed their projections for a few of the most-bet MLB HR prop bets on Tuesday. These three picks will also be parlayed for +8108 odds and would pay out $410.41 on a $5 wager at FanDuel.
Kyle Schwarber, Phillies (+350)
For our FanDuel Dinger Tuesday picks and parlays, we’re taking part in Schwarber at +285 right here. Nevertheless, you’ll find this line for as excessive as +350, which remains to be a price contemplating that BetMGM and Caesars each have him priced at +240. Schwarber leads the Nationwide League with 11 residence runs and he is 3-for-8 with a house run off Rays starter Drew Rasmussen. He’ll additionally profit from temperatures within the mid-80s and a mild breeze forecasted to blow out to proper discipline on Tuesday evening.
“If you may get Schwarber at +300 or larger towards a right-handed pitcher, there’s virtually at all times going to be worth on him to hit a HR,” SportsLine information analyst Jacob Fetner mentioned. “Whereas Rasmussen is sweet at each stopping residence runs and towards left-handed bats, he’s pitching in a spring coaching park in Florida which tends to learn hitters. We set the road at +270 for Schwarber to hit a HR immediately.” Guess the added worth at DraftKings, the place you may wager $5 and get $200 immediately.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Blue Jays (+425)
Guerrero acquired off to a sluggish begin from an influence standpoint after signing a $500 million extension simply earlier than the season began. Nevertheless, he is hit three of his 4 residence runs in 2025 over his final 9 video games and he sees the ball properly towards Angels lefty Tyler Anderson. Guerrero is 6-for-11 in his profession off Anderson.
“Tyler Anderson has solely allowed 10 ER all season, however he has allowed six residence runs. Anderson is a pitch to contact hitter, and he is susceptible to often quit some loud contact,” Fetner mentioned. “We set the road at +350 for Guerrero to hit a HR immediately.” FanDuel has this priced at +420 for our MLB HR parlay, however DraftKings is definitely providing one of the best worth right here:
Fernando Tatis Jr., Padres (+310)
One other son of a giant leaguer, Tatis is within the early NL MVP dialog after ending prime 5 within the voting in 2020 and 2021. He is slashing .317/.387/.556 with eight residence runs, 18 RBI and eight stolen bases. Tatis has a juicy matchup on Tuesday towards Yankees righty Clarke Schmidt, who has given up three residence runs in his final two begins.
“Tatis is hitting .371 with all 8 of his HRs towards RHPs this season regardless of being a right-handed hitter,” Fetner mentioned. “Tatis is dealing with Clarke Schmidt who simply had his begin pushed again as he’s coping with an harm. In accordance with baseball savant, Schmidt ranks in simply the sixth percentile in fastball run worth, whereas Tatis destroys fastballs. If he can get into fastball counts towards Schmidt, Tatis has a main alternative to go yard immediately.” The mannequin units its line at +280 for Tatis to go yard immediately and FanDuel has one of the best worth, plus if you wager $5, you may get $200 in bonus bets in case your wager wins.
Extra MLB picks for Tuesday
You have seen the mannequin’s MLB HR prop picks for a number of gamers on Tuesday. Now, get MLB projections for each participant prop at SportsLine.
Want extra from SportsLine? See immediately’s finest MLB picks from SportsLine’s Matt Severance, who’s on a 90-48 roll on baseball picks. Nonetheless craving extra? SportsLine’s Jason La Canfora is 14-7 over his final 12 MLB cash line picks, and he already has locked in a decide for Tuesday.
