The Yankees’ Max Fried can turn into the primary six-game winner within the majors this season when he faces the Tampa Bay Rays on Friday at Yankee Stadium in The Bronx. After a no-decision in his 2025 debut, Fried (5-0, 1.19 ERA) has received every of his final 5 begins. He’ll sq. off in opposition to the Rays’ Ryan Pepiot (2-3, 4.24).

Sportsbooks have set Fried’s whole strikeout participant prop at 5.5 (Over -116, Below -105), whereas Pepiot’s is 5.5 (Over +100, Below -115). The SportsLine Projection Mannequin charges Pepiot Below 5.5 as a 3-star play and tasks 5.4 strikeouts.

The Fried-Pepiot pitching matchup is one in all 15 on Friday’s MLB slate. The mannequin has discovered even higher worth on Friday’s 15-game MLB schedule, with two pitcher strikeout props rated at 5 stars and a 3rd rated at 4.5. Right here they’re:

Logan Allen Over 3.5 strikeouts (+135) vs. Jays (7:07 p.m. ET)

Score: 4.5 stars
Mannequin projection: 4.2 strikeouts

The 26-year-old righty has gone Over this quantity in three of his 5 begins this yr. Final day trip, he bought roughed up by the Pink Sox and could not get out of the fifth inning and struck out simply two. However Boston has one of many lineups within the league, whereas Toronto has one of many worst. The Jays have struck out 34 instances over their final 4 video games.

Clay Holmes Over 4.5 strikeouts (-115) vs. Cardinals (8:15 p.m. ET)

Score: 5 stars
Mannequin projection: 6.1 strikeouts

This looks like a low quantity. Holmes (3-1, 2.64) has gone Over 4.5 strikeouts in 4 of six begins this season, although one of many Below strikeout efforts got here in his final begin. His transition from Yankees nearer to Mets starter hasn’t affected his stuff. He’s averaging a career-high 10.6 strikeouts per 9 innings this season. His strikeout proportion of 27.5 is also a career-high mark. Two begins in the past, he confronted this St. Louis membership and struck out six in 6 innings.

Robbie Ray Below 7.5 strikeouts (-107) vs. Rockies (10:15 p.m. ET)

Score: 5 stars
Mannequin projection: 5.9 strikeouts

Ray (3-0, 3.73) has had a strong begin to the season, however superior statistics counsel his success has been extra smoke and mirrors. The veteran lefty ranks poor in common exit velocity, stroll proportion and barrel proportion. On Friday, he faces a Colorado membership that struck out simply six instances in opposition to San Francisco’s employees.