The ultimate sport of the 2024-25 NBA season takes place on Sunday with Sport 7 of the 2025 NBA Finals between the Oklahoma Metropolis Thunder and Indiana Pacers. OKC is a 7.5-point favourite and the over/underneath is 215. This has been a curler coaster of a collection, offering worthwhile alternatives on Overs and Unders relying on which aspect of NBA participant props you explored on betting websites. All of it culminates with a Sport 7 at Oklahoma Metropolis’s Paycom Heart on Sunday at 8 p.m. ET. Our mannequin initiatives Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to showcase yet one more time why he was the NBA MVP this yr and expects him to go Over in a number of NBA participant props. Nevertheless, the mannequin finds the most effective worth in enjoying SGA Over 43.5 complete factors + rebounds + assists within the Thunder vs. Pacers prop bets.
Gilgeous-Alexander had simply 21 factors, 4 rebounds and two assists in Sport 6, which the Pacers managed from early on to drive a Sport 7. SGA additionally performed a series-low 31 minutes, so he must be well-rested to play practically each minute of the winner-take-all Sport 7. The mannequin initiatives a major workload from SGA as a part of the explanation to play his Over when making Sunday Pacers vs. Thunder prop bets for on-line sports activities betting and same-game parlay picks. You’ll find Gilgeous-Alexander Over 43.5 PRA in an NBA prop that may be performed using a FanDuel promo code for brand new customers. Additionally, take a look at our Thunder vs. Pacers rating prediction, Thunder vs. Pacers odds, and Thunder vs. Pacers SGP.
The SportsLine Projection Mannequin simulates each NBA sport 10,000 occasions and has returned properly over $10,000 for $100 gamers on its top-rated NBA picks over the previous six-plus seasons. One of many Knowledge Scientists behind the mannequin, Stephen Oh (@StephenOhCBS), analyzed the sim outcomes and broke down the supporting proof to disclose which participant props have the most effective worth for in the present day’s slate. The NBA odds might change, so act now for optimum worth. You’ll find extra evaluation from Oh and different SportsLine information analysts on their Inside The Traces weblog.
Greatest Thunder vs. Pacers NBA Finals Sport 7 NBA props (odds topic to alter):
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 43.5 complete factors + rebounds + assists (-112)
- Myles Turner Over 17.5 factors + rebounds (-108)
- TJ McConnell Over 4.5 assists (-105)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 43.5 complete factors + rebounds + assists (-112)
Two poor performances on the street has Gilgeous-Alexander averaging properly under this complete for the collection, however for video games in Oklahoma Metropolis, SGA is averaging 34.3 factors, 4 rebounds and 7 assists for a forty five.3 PRA complete. And that is with out the extra minutes a Sport 7 is bound to deliver a participant like Gilgeous-Alexander. He averaged a forty five.1 PRA complete at house this season over 33.7 minutes per sport. He is performed not less than 40 minutes in three of six video games on this collection, and you’ll count on 40 minutes to be his ground in crucial sport of the season. Gilgeous-Alexander had not less than 21 field-goal makes an attempt in all three house video games this collection, and the mannequin initiatives SGA for a forty five.7 PRA complete on Sunday, and Oh likes SGA’s skill to contribute outdoors of simply scoring to cowl this quantity.
“Sport 7 effort and main minutes ought to ship his rebounding (5.9 common, 22-10 Over 4.5 when enjoying 38+ minutes),” Oh mentioned. “The easiest way the Thunder can counter each Haliburton and T.J. McConnell is for SGA to be tremendous aggressive offensively and we do count on the referees to provide MVP ‘free throw service provider’ SGA a pleasant whistle on this essential state of affairs.” FanDuel is the place to make this play, providing him at a 43.5 PRA complete whereas different sportsbooks have raised the quantity to 44.5. Play with a FanDuel promo code, and new customers can earn $200 in bonus bets in case your first $5 guess wins.
Myles Turner Over 17.5 factors + rebounds (-108)
Though Turner had simply three factors and 4 rebounds in Sport 6, it wasn’t for an absence of alternatives. Turner had 9 field-goal makes an attempt over 26 minutes, however he was simply merely off. Nevertheless, Turner averaged 13 factors over the primary 5 video games of the collection and is averaging 4.5 rebounds per contest within the NBA Finals because the mannequin would not count on one other dysmal taking pictures efficiency as in Sport 6. He is had his three greatest scoring performances in Oklahoma Metropolis as properly, scoring not less than 13 factors in all three video games and averaging 14.6 factors with 6.3 rebounds per sport on the street this collection.
Turner’s averages have barely dipped within the postseason from the common season, going from 15.6 factors to 14.1 factors per sport and 6.5 rebounds to 4.8 rebounds per sport, however he is nonetheless averaging Over the 17.5 quantity for Sport 7. He is averaging 29.8 minutes per sport this postseason, and just like SGA, he’ll probably be pushed further minutes on this ultimate sport of the season. FanDuel can be offereing the most effective odds on this play at -108, but when you have already got a FanDuel account and are searching for a robust sign-up bonus, bet365 is providing this at -115 odds and the present bet365 bonus code gives new customers $150 in bonus bets with a $5 wager, whether or not it wins or loses
T.J. McConnell Over 4.5 assists (-105)
McConnell had six assists in a series-high 24 minutes in Sport 6 because the Pacers had the ball in his palms extra with Tyrese Haliburton restricted to 23 minutes on account of managing a calf damage. Haliburton’s calf will probably be removed from 100% in Sport 7 in addition to he is formally listed as questionable, so count on a bigger position from McConnell on Sunday once more. After scoring 12 factors on 6-of-12 taking pictures with 9 rebounds and 6 assists, the 33-year-old guard proved worthy of the extra enjoying time.
He’s averaging 4.5 assists per sport this collection regardless of enjoying fewer than 20 minutes in 4 of six contests. The mannequin initiatives McConnell for 25 minutes on Sunday and he averaged 5.4 assists within the 26 regular-season video games the place he performed not less than 20 minutes. With Haliburton lower than full well being and McConnell efficient when given his alternatives this yr, the mannequin sees worth on this play because it initiatives McConnell for five.1 assists on Sunday. DraftKings Sportsbook is providing the most effective odds at -105 and DraftKings promo code awards new customers $300 in bonus bets in case your first $5 guess wins.
Need extra NBA picks for Thunder vs. Pacers in Sport 7 of the 2025 NBA Finals?
You have seen a number of the mannequin’s high NBA props for Pacers vs. Thunder on Sunday in Sport 7 of the 2025 NBA Finals. Now, get unfold, complete and money-line picks for each sport right here, all from the mannequin that is simulated each sport 10,000 occasions.
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You may also see Sunday’s high NBA picks from skilled Matt Severance, who’s on a scorching 100-43 (+2395.75) roll on his final 143 NBA participant props picks, has locked in his favourite NBA participant prop guess for Sunday. Go to SportsLine to see who Severance is backing or fading, all from an skilled who’s up practically 24 items.