The Denver Nuggets will host the Los Angeles Clippers in Recreation 7 of their Western Convention first-round collection within the 2025 NBA playoffs on Saturday night time. Denver is enjoying in its fourth Recreation 7 for the reason that 2019 postseason, going 2-1 throughout that stretch. The Nuggets will attempt to decelerate Clippers stars James Harden and Kawhi Leonard, who scored a mixed 55 factors in Recreation 6. It was Harden’s first win in an elimination sport since 2020, and he has an over/underneath of 20.5 factors on FanDuel Sportsbook in Saturday NBA prop odds. 

The SportsLine Projection Mannequin simulates each NBA sport 10,000 occasions and has returned effectively over $10,000 for $100 gamers on its top-rated NBA picks over the previous six-plus seasons. One of many Information Scientists behind the mannequin, Stephen Oh (@StephenOhCBS), analyzed the sim outcomes and broke down the supporting proof to disclose which participant props have one of the best worth for right this moment’s slate. The NBA odds might change, so act now for max worth.

Christian Braun Over 10.5 factors (-120) 

Braun was Denver’s fourth-leading scorer throughout the common season, averaging 15.4 factors per sport. The 24-year-old is averaging 11.2 factors throughout this collection, however that common is being dragged down by some low-scoring outings early within the collection. He has reached double digits in three straight video games and is coming off a 14-point exhibiting in Recreation 6. The mannequin has him scoring 13.6 factors in Recreation 7. 

“We’re nonetheless getting purchase low worth as a result of he solely scored 5 and 9 in video games 2 and three, however these 2 video games are his solely unders in his final 17 video games,” Oh mentioned. “He put up 11+ factors in 35 of 43 video games (81.4%) at residence.” FanDuel Sportsbook is providing this play at -120 odds.

Michael Porter Jr. Over 15.5 factors + rebounds (-106)

Porter is one other Denver participant who’s undervalued on this sport, as he averaged 18.2 factors and seven.0 rebounds per sport throughout the common season. He has been battling a shoulder harm, however that has not stopped him from enjoying in all six video games. Porter had 21 factors/rebounds in Recreation 4 and 16 in Recreation 5 earlier than a quiet Recreation 6. That is an elimination sport, so Denver can’t afford to restrict Porter’s minutes on Saturday. The mannequin has him ending with 22.7 factors + rebounds to supply clear worth on the Over. FanDuel is as soon as once more providing one of the best value at -106. 

Nikola Jokic Underneath 28.5 factors (-115)

Jokic has taken a step again throughout the playoffs after averaging 29.6 factors per sport throughout the common season. He’s solely scoring 25.3 factors per sport in opposition to the Clippers, and his taking pictures share has dropped seven share factors from the common season. The large man has solely reached the 30-point mark as soon as within the collection, and he has gone Underneath his level complete in 4 of his final 5 video games. SportsLine’s mannequin is projecting 27.0 factors for Denver’s star on Saturday. DraftKings Sportsbook has one of the best line at -115.

Need extra NBA picks for tonight?

1. You have seen the mannequin’s NBA prop picks for the most well-liked props on Saturday. Now, get NBA projections for each participant prop at SportsLine.
2. You may as well view knowledgeable betting recommendation earlier than making Saturday NBA picks or participant props. Go to SportsLine now to see knowledgeable Bruce Marshall’s picks. He is 114-84-1 (+2150) over his final 199 NBA picks and he already has a choose locked in on the entire for Recreation 7.
3. SportsLine additionally has a number of specialists who concentrate on participant props and workforce props, together with Mike Barner, who’s 150-105 (+2701) over his final 255 NBA participant prop picks. Go to SportsLine now to see who Barner is together with in his NBA picks for Saturday.