Mariners catcher Cal Raleigh and Diamondbacks third baseman Eugenio Suarez are the one two gamers in Main League Baseball with 10 residence runs on the season and each will probably be in motion on Tuesday. Raleigh and the Mariners will match up with Angels right-hander Jack Kochanowicz, whereas Suarez and the Diamondbacks will sq. off towards Mets lefty David Peterson. The newest MLB residence runs odds from FanDuel Sportsbook checklist Suarez at +430 to hit a house run, whereas Raleigh’s priced at +285 in in the present day’s MLB residence run props.
So is both participant price including to your MLB HR parlays or ought to pitching matchups and ballpark situations lead you in a special course? With MLB props accessible for nearly each participant in each recreation at sportsbooks, SportsLine’s confirmed pc mannequin may help you discover worth so as to add to your MLB residence run picks.
The mannequin simulates each recreation 10,000 instances and is on a 17-11 roll on all top-rated MLB picks for the reason that begin of the season. It nailed all three of its residence run bets final Wednesday, cashing a +9360 parlay. The mannequin has referred to as a HR prop in 13 of the final 21 days and is up 34.6 models in that interval. Now, the mannequin and SportsLine’s crew of Information Scientists have revealed their projections for a few of the most-bet MLB HR prop bets on Tuesday. These three picks may also be parlayed for +16438 odds and would pay out $826.88 on a $5 wager at BetMGM Sportsbook.
Bobby Witt Jr., Royals (+400, initially +425)
After hitting 30 homers or extra in back-to-back season, Witt solely has two residence runs to date in 2025. Nonetheless, he’s in the midst of a 19-game hitting streak the place he is 25-for-70 with 9 doubles and it is solely a matter of time earlier than he begins elevating these gappers and driving the ball out of the park. BetMGM has the perfect quantity for this prop and the mannequin likes the matchup.
“As a result of Witt’s energy numbers have not been there this season, you may get +425 on a premier hitter that’s dealing with a pitcher in Taj Bradley that has struggled with giving up residence runs at instances,” SportsLine knowledge analyst Jacob Fetner mentioned. “We set the road at +402 for Witt to hit a HR.”
William Contreras, Brewers (+500)
His exit velocity (88.1 mph) and hard-hit contact charge (37.2%) look extraordinarily misplaced when you think about the batted-ball numbers he is put up during the last three seasons, so the mannequin is banking on some constructive regression right here. After a disastrous begin, he is hit safely in 18 of his final 19 video games and has a .310 common with all three of his residence runs and all 16 of his RBI coming throughout that span.
“The White Sox are going with a bullpen recreation with Tyler Gilbert opening and Bryse Wilson following as the majority reliever, however Wilson hasn’t gone greater than 3 IP in his final six appearances. The White Sox going with a bullpen recreation is attention-grabbing contemplating their bullpen leads the league with 18 residence runs allowed,” Fetner mentioned. DraftKings and BetMGM have the perfect value for this MLB HR prop.
Riley Greene, Tigers (+450, initially +560)
Spotlight-reel residence runs are nice, however Greene’s two pokes on Monday night time that hardly cleared the wall rely simply the identical. His first towards Ronel Blanco within the fourth inning left the bat at 103.7 mph and traveled 363 ft whereas his second within the eighth inning off Kaleb Ort was hit 104.0 mph and went 358 ft. He is now homered 3 times in his three video games and the mannequin sees large worth right here, with FanDuel pricing him at +560 whereas BetMGM is providing +450 if you happen to’re on the lookout for the perfect odds in our MLB HR parlay.
“Greene has hit all six of his residence runs this season towards RHPs and has a .844 OPS towards righties in comparison with a .474 OPS vs. lefties,” Fetner mentioned. “Apparently Greene additionally likes night time video games higher than day video games and has a .972 OPS in night time video games in comparison with a .521 OPS in day video games. We set the road at +400 for Greene to hit his fourth HR in 4 days.”
Extra MLB picks for Tuesday
You’ve got seen the mannequin’s MLB HR prop picks for a number of gamers on Tuesday. Now, get MLB projections for each participant prop at SportsLine.
Want extra from SportsLine? See in the present day’s greatest MLB picks from SportsLine’s Matt Severance, who’s on an 82-39 roll on baseball picks. Nonetheless craving extra? SportsLine’s Jason La Canfora is 12-5 over his final 17 MLB run line picks, and he already has locked in a decide for Tuesday.
