Athletics designated hitter Brent Rooker completed tied for fifth within the MLB in dwelling runs (39) final season and has already hit seven in the course of the 2025 MLB season. He has gone yard in three of his final six video games, together with on Tuesday towards Texas. Rooker has a matchup towards Rangers star Jacob deGrom in the course of the Thursday MLB schedule. He’s listed at +400 to go yard within the newest MLB HR prop bets for Thursday at BetMGM Sportsbook. Regardless of deGrom’s 3.32 ERA, he has allowed 5 dwelling runs throughout 4 appearances, so you might nonetheless embrace Rooker in your MLB HR bets. Athletics first baseman Tyler Soderstrom, who’s one among three gamers main the league with 9 homers, is priced at +425 to hit his tenth dwelling run of the season on Thursday. With MLB HR props obtainable for nearly each participant in each sport at sportsbooks, SportsLine’s confirmed laptop mannequin can assist you discover worth so as to add to your MLB dwelling run picks.
The mannequin simulates each sport 10,000 instances and is on a 13-6 roll on all top-rated MLB picks for the reason that begin of the season. It nailed all three of its dwelling run bets on Wednesday, cashing a +9360 parlay. The mannequin has referred to as a HR prop in 11 of the final 16 days and is up 36.8 models in that interval. Now, the mannequin and SportsLine’s group of Knowledge Scientists have revealed their projections for a number of the most-bet MLB HR props on Thursday. These three picks will also be parlayed for +35650 odds and would pay out $3,565 on a $10 wager at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Wyatt Langford, Rangers (+450)
Langford hit his team-leading sixth dwelling run of the season on Wednesday, going yard for the second straight sport towards the Athletics. The 23-year-old was bumped as much as second within the lineup previous to this collection, and he has delivered for supervisor Bruce Bochy. 5 of Langford’s six dwelling runs have are available in April, and three of them have are available in his final 4 video games performed.
“Though JT Ginn has been actually good towards right-handed batters this season, Langford is seeing seaside balls proper now, and I feel that +450 is a powerful worth for a sizzling hitter in a HR pleasant surroundings,” SportsLine information analyst Jacob Fetner mentioned. The mannequin has Langford at +410 to homer in its projections, offering worth on this +450 line at DraftKings.
Junior Caminero, Rays (+550)
The 21-year-old third baseman leads Tampa Bay with 5 dwelling runs, regardless that he has not gone yard since final Thursday. He’s dealing with Diamondbacks beginning pitcher Corbin Burnes, who has allowed at the least 22 dwelling runs in every of the final three seasons. Burnes has given up 4 lengthy balls to date this season, with three of them coming through right-handed batters.
“Caminero has the very best bat velocity within the majors and posts related bat velocity numbers to Giancarlo Stanton, so when he makes good contact, the ball has an opportunity to go very far,” Fetner mentioned. “I feel +550 is a stable worth for Caminero in homer pleasant Arizona.”
Christian Yelich, Brewers (+900)
Whereas Yelich just isn’t hitting as many dwelling runs as he did in 2018 and 2019, he nonetheless has the flexibility to go yard. He has 5 dwelling runs in 24 video games this season, together with one towards San Francisco on Tuesday. Yelich has a .895 OPS towards right-handed pitchers in 2025, and all 5 of his homers have come towards righties. The mannequin has this priced at +500, making it a powerful longshot play.
“Landen Roupp does not permit many HRs which is an enormous purpose why the road is the place it’s at, however he is nonetheless permitting a good quantity of contact this season and it simply takes one mistake pitch for Yelich to go yard,” Fetner mentioned. DraftKings as soon as once more has the most effective line at +900, whereas it’s as little as +650 at Caesars.
Extra MLB picks for Thursday
You’ve got seen the mannequin’s MLB HR prop picks for some fashionable props on Thursday. Now, get MLB projections for each participant prop at SportsLine.
Want extra from SportsLine? See in the present day’s finest MLB picks from SportsLine’s Matt Severance, who’s on a 72-33 roll on baseball picks. Nonetheless craving extra? SportsLine’s Jason La Canfora is 14-5 in his final 19 ATS picks involving Minnesota, and he has locked in his decide for Twins vs. White Sox on Thursday.
