Torpedo bat fervor has quelled, however the New York Yankees clubbed two extra house runs on Sunday to being their complete to 38, essentially the most in baseball. On Monday, the Yankees will journey to Cleveland to tackle the Guardians and the climate seems to be preferrred for left-handed energy. The most recent Yankees vs. Guardians forecast initiatives temperatures close to 70 levels for first pitch at 6:10 p.m. ET and winds blowing out to proper area at almost 20 mph. Trent Grisham hit his sixth house run of the season yesterday and the most recent MLB house run odds from FanDuel Sportsbook checklist the left-handed outfielder at +450 to go yard once more on Monday.

Is Grisham value backing along with your MLB house run picks? With MLB HR props out there for nearly each participant in each sport at sportsbooks, SportsLine’s confirmed pc mannequin may also help you discover worth so as to add to your MLB house run picks.

The mannequin simulates each sport 10,000 occasions and is on a 13-6 roll on all top-rated MLB picks because the begin of the season. It additionally nailed a minimum of one house run on 5 consecutive days final week after which referred to as Elly De La Cruz (+700) and Fernando Tatis Jr. (+475) to go yard on Sunday. The SportsLine Projection Mannequin has referred to as a HR prop in 10 of the final 13 days and is up 32.15 models in that interval. Now, the mannequin and SportsLine’s staff of Information Scientists have revealed their projections for a number of the most-bet MLB HR props on Monday. These three picks will be parlayed for +19475 odds and would pay out $978.75 on a $5 wager at BetMGM Sportsbook.

Pete Alonso, Mets (+400)

Alonso’s a two-time Dwelling Run Derby champion, set the MLB rookie house run document with 53 bombs in 2019, has three 40-homer seasons underneath his belt and has hit a minimum of 34 house runs in each full season of his profession. He is already belted six homers in 2025 and at the moment leads the NL in RBI (24), slugging (.718) and OPS (1.171).

“Alonso has seen the ball out of Aaron Nola’s arms extraordinarily nicely. Alonso has six house runs and a 1.117 OPS in his profession towards Nola. The six house runs are tied with Austin Riley for essentially the most that Nola has allowed to an opposing batter,” SportsLine knowledge analyst Jacob Fetner stated. “We set the road at at +300 for Alonso to hit his seventh profession HR off of Nola tonight.” You could find his finest odds at FanDuel.

Kerry Carpenter, Tigers (+500)

p.m. replace: Carpenter just isn’t within the lineup

The 27-year-old broke out with 20 house runs in 118 video games in 2023 after which hit 18 house runs in simply an 87-game season in 2024. Now he is wholesome and within the Detroit lineup on daily basis and he is already hit 5 extra house runs over the primary 22 video games of the season. He is additionally seeing the ball extraordinarily nicely proper now, with a number of hits in 5 of his final 9 video games.

“Carpenter continues to rake towards RHPs with a .959 OPS. He additionally likes hitting at house the place he has hit 4 of his 5 HRs and has a 1.046 OPS,” Fetner stated. “Randy Vasquez has been nice to start out the season, however he is not lacking a ton of bats, reasonably he’s inducing smooth contact. I anticipate some regression and his numbers to climb a bit going ahead.”

Bonus substitute choose: Anthony Santander, Blue Jays (+425 BetMGM)

The mannequin locations his line at +400 and views him as a buy-low alternative towards a right-handed pitcher, Hunter Brown, who he is aware of nicely. 

Mike Yastrzemski, Giants (+625)

The 34-year-old hasn’t been a lot of a contact man all through his profession, however he has hit a minimum of 15 house runs in each full season of his profession. He’s hitting .348 with a 1.082 OPS vs. RHPs this season, and he has been superior at house with a 1.324 OPS in a five-game pattern dimension.

“I did not anticipate to see Yastrzemski on our checklist of finest HR performs right now, however he has a number of the finest worth at +420 in our mannequin and +625 on BetMGM,” Fetner stated.

Need extra MLB picks for Monday?

You’ve got seen the mannequin’s MLB HR prop picks for some well-liked props on Monday. Now, get MLB projections for each participant prop at SportsLine.

Want extra from SportsLine? See right now’s finest MLB picks from SportsLine’s Matt Severance, who’s on a 64-29 roll on baseball picks. Nonetheless craving extra? SportsLine’s Bruce Marshall is 10-5 on his final 13 MLB ATS picks and you’ll find all his newest alternatives right here.