With simply two weeks remaining till the beginning of the 2025 NBA playoffs, groups are looking for their postseason groove. The Golden State Warriors have a combating probability to work their manner out of the NBA play-in match, as they’re now tied for the sixth within the NBA standings with the Los Angeles Clippers. The addition of Jimmy Butler has had a profound influence on Golden State, and the Warriors at the moment are 17-4 in video games he is performed. The newest NBA props from DraftKings Sportsbook checklist Butler’s over/underneath for factors scored at 18.5. Butler’s over/underneath for complete rebounds is 6.5 and his over/underneath for complete assists is 5.5. Which facet of these strains must you play and how are you going to lock in NBA parlays, NBA participant props, and SGPs with a built-in edge?
The SportsLine Projection Mannequin simulates each NBA sport 10,000 instances and has returned properly over $10,000 for $100 gamers on its top-rated NBA picks over the previous six-plus seasons. Then, one of many Knowledge Scientists behind the mannequin, Stephen Oh (@StephenOhCBS), analyzed the sim outcomes and broke down the supporting proof to disclose which participant props have the most effective worth.
Karl-Anthony Cities Over 40.5 factors + rebounds + assists (-125 DraftKings)
Cities has averaged precisely 40.5 mixed factors, rebounds and assists per sport this season, however he is cruised previous this quantity in two of his final three video games. The all-star middle posted a triple-double with 26 factors, 12 rebounds and 11 assists towards the Mavericks on Tuesday after which had 34 factors, 14 rebounds and 4 assists towards the Clippers on Wednesday.
The mannequin notes that Cities is even higher towards groups just like the Path Blazers, as he is gone over his PAR in eight of his final 10 video games towards groups with dropping data which can be center third of the NBA defensively. It predicts he finishes with 47.2 mixed factors, rebounds and assists on common.
Jalen Inexperienced Underneath 32.5 factors + rebounds + assists (-114 FanDuel)
With the Rockets sitting second within the West, Inexperienced is on the verge of superstardom and is averaging a team-leading 21.5 factors per sport. He is additionally averaging 4.5 rebounds and three.7 assists per sport, and this can be a quantity that he is breezed previous in current video games as a result of he is been scoring at will.
Nonetheless, the Suns have held three of their final 5 opponents underneath 45% taking pictures as a workforce at dwelling and Inexperienced has struggled on the highway at instances. He is gone underneath on his PAR in three of his final 5 highway video games and is taking pictures simply 37.6% from the ground in his final seven video games away from dwelling. The mannequin he finishes with 27.7 PAR on common.
R.J. Barrett Over 16.5 factors (-118 FanDuel)
Since arriving in Toronto in the course of final season, Barrett is averaging 21.5 factors, 6.4 rebounds and 5.0 assists per sport, so this can be a suspiciously low complete. That is doubtless rooted in the truth that he hasn’t had a 20-point sport since March 8 whereas battling an ankle harm however he’s scheduled to return to the lineup after being rested on Friday towards the Hornets.
The 76ers rank twenty sixth within the NBA in defensive score (118.3) and have given up a median of 126.6 factors per sport throughout their present seven-game dropping streak. That is an enormous cause why the mannequin is projecting that Barrett finishes with 22.9 factors on common for a snug money.
Miles Bridges over 7.5 rebounds (+124 DraftKings)
Bridges is averaging 7.7 rebounds per sport this season, so the mannequin is leaping on the alternative to get plus cash for an eight-rebound night time. He is gone over on his rebounds prop in 4 of his final 5 video games and has had 29 video games of eight rebounds or extra this season in 58 video games performed. In the meantime, the Pelicans rank twenty ninth within the NBA in defensive rebounding proportion (72.1%), which is why the mannequin predicts he averages 8.8 rebounds on Sunday.
Ron Holland underneath 2.5 rebounds (+120 FanDuel)
This can be a low quantity nevertheless it’s one other stable alternative with plus-money being dangled. The No. 5 total decide within the 2024 NBA Draft is averaging 2.7 rebounds per sport however has solely performed greater than 20 minutes as soon as this month with the Pistons contending within the East. Holland has completed with two rebounds or fewer in eight of the 14 video games that he is performed this month and has failed to achieve three rebounds in 37 of the 74 video games he is performed total. You may get this prop at plus-money at FanDuel.
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